{
 "question": "Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-lebron-james-retire-before-next-nba-season",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-08-24",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.024,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.004,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.0085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.0075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.011,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.0135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.013,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.019,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.011,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.009,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.011,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.0105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.0205,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}