{
 "question": "Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-openai-announce-bankruptcy-by-december-31-2027",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-09",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "probability": 0.3,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-30",
     "probability": 0.09,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "probability": 0.085,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}