{
 "question": "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-ronaldo-caiado-finish-in-second-place-in-the-first-round-of-the",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-09",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.006,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.007,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.0065,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.0065,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.007,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}