{
 "question": "Will Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-spain-play-england-in-the-2026-men-s-fifa-world-cup-final.html",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-07-14",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Spain vs England",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-06-30",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-01",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-02",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-03",
     "probability": 0.025,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-04",
     "probability": 0.034,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-05",
     "probability": 0.029,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "probability": 0.068,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.1115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.1205,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.1225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.1095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.1475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.2095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.2095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.2105,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}