{
 "question": "Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-spain-win-the-2030-fifa-men-s-world-cup",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-08-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Spain",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.1795,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.173,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.1705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.1705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.1685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.167,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.167,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.164,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.165,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.166,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.163,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.155,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.1585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.149,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.132,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.131,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.136,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.1345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.1345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.134,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}