{
 "question": "Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-tadej-pogacar-win-the-2026-tour-de-france.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-21",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Tadej Pogacar",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.83,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.935,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.975,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.975,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.965,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}