{
 "question": "Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,000/MTU on Dec 17, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-cif-rotterdam-88-5-apt-price-smm-wu-apt-003-be-above-2-000",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-17",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-16",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Above $2,000/MTU",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-16",
     "probability": 0.87,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-17",
     "probability": 0.87,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}