{
 "question": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-fed-decide-differently-in-the-next-three-decisions-jul-sep",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-08-03",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.63,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.63,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.69,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.675,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.665,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}