{
 "question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-december",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-09-27",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-28",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.046,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.0535,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.0485,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.051,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.0585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.0695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-07",
     "probability": 0.067,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.012,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.016,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.017,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}