{
 "question": "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-fed-s-lower-bound-reach-2-75-or-lower-before-2027",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-08-27",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-14",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.029,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.034,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.026,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.037,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.0345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.0355,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}