{
 "question": "Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-federal-reserve-hike-rates-by-december-31-2026",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-17",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Before 2027",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-19",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}