{
 "question": "Will the Iran war and foreign policy be the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-iran-war-and-foreign-policy-be-the-issue-voters-rank-most",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-05",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-25",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Iran war and foreign policy",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.2,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}