{
 "question": "Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff be at least 6%?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-darline-graham-in-the-2026-south",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-24",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Darline Graham, ≥6%",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.56,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.375,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}