{
 "question": "Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 3%?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-fl-vio-bolsonaro-in-the-runoff-of-the",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-06",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}