{
 "question": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-next-diplomatic-us-iran-meeting-be-in-pakistan-by-september",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-19",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-11",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.1705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.1525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.1485,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.111,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.118,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.108,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.1045,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.248,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.2445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.1445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.101,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.102,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.0925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.0795,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}