{
 "question": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-total-domestic-gross-for-spider-man-brand-new-day-be-between",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-30",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-12",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.55,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-13",
     "probability": 0.55,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.013,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0055,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.001,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}