{
 "question": "Will there be exactly 3 Fed rate hikes in 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-there-be-exactly-3-fed-rate-hikes-in-2026",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-17",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Exactly 3",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-16",
     "probability": 0.02,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.4,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}