{
 "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-december-2026",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-09-29",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-03",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.395,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-13",
     "probability": 0.395,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.195,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}