{
 "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-july-2026.html",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-07-21",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-11",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.795,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.635,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.9525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.9585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.9545,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.9475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.9455,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.9245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.9305,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}