{
 "question": "Will Tie win Outstanding Variety Series at the Emmy Awards?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-tie-win-outstanding-variety-series-at-the-emmy-awards",
 "category": "culture",
 "as_of": "2026-08-24",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-18",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Tie",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}