{
 "question": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-china",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-11",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-23",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.42,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-08",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-09",
     "probability": 0.525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-10",
     "probability": 0.565,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-11",
     "probability": 0.605,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-12",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-13",
     "probability": 0.565,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.79,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.76,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}