{
 "question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-trump-publicly-criticize-kevin-warsh-before-dec-1-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-17",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Before Dec 1, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-19",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}