{
 "question": "Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-trump-rename-the-strait-of-hormuz",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-03",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-02",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Before Oct 1, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.065,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Before Sep 15, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.035,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}