{
 "question": "Will Trump say \"Fox News\" before Aug 1, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-trump-say-fox-news-before-aug-1-2026.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-27",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Fox News",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.28,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.27,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.55,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.545,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.51,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.6,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.53,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.545,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.58,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.57,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.585,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}