{
 "question": "Xi Jinping out before 2027?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/xi-jinping-out-before-2027",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-12",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-17",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-17",
     "probability": 0.0435,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-18",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-19",
     "probability": 0.0365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-20",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.0385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.0425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.0445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.0445,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.0425,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-27",
     "probability": 0.0365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.0355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.0345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-30",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.0285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.0255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.0255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.0255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.0245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.0255,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.0265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.0265,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.0305,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.0285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.0285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.0285,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}