Final tracked odds
As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 5%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Odds Tracker
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 19, 2026
5%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 18 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 5% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 5% |
| 2026-07-18 | 5% |
| 2026-07-17 | 5% |
| 2026-07-16 | 5% |
| 2026-07-15 | 5% |
| 2026-07-14 | 5% |
| 2026-07-13 | 5% |
| 2026-07-12 | 6% |
| 2026-07-11 | 6% |
| 2026-07-10 | 7% |
| 2026-07-09 | 7% |
| 2026-07-08 | 7% |
| 2026-07-07 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. The record is final; past values never change.