The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?

Culture · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

98%

Today’s odds

As of July 21, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 45 the most likely outcome at 98%.

▲ 7 since the previous update. ▲ 30 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Above 45Above 50Above 55Above 60Above 65
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 11Jul 14Jul 17Jul 21Above 45 — Jul 7: 64%Above 45 — Jul 8: 64%Above 45 — Jul 9: 60%Above 45 — Jul 10: 68%Above 45 — Jul 11: 66%Above 45 — Jul 12: 62%Above 45 — Jul 13: 64%Above 45 — Jul 14: 68%Above 45 — Jul 15: 72%Above 45 — Jul 16: 78%Above 45 — Jul 17: 78%Above 45 — Jul 18: 89%Above 45 — Jul 19: 90%Above 45 — Jul 20: 92%Above 45 — Jul 21: 98%98%Above 50 — Jul 7: 52%Above 50 — Jul 8: 52%Above 50 — Jul 9: 52%Above 50 — Jul 10: 56%Above 50 — Jul 11: 57%Above 50 — Jul 12: 56%Above 50 — Jul 13: 56%Above 50 — Jul 14: 57%Above 50 — Jul 15: 62%Above 50 — Jul 16: 60%Above 50 — Jul 17: 72%Above 50 — Jul 18: 70%Above 50 — Jul 19: 80%Above 50 — Jul 20: 86%Above 50 — Jul 21: 96%Above 55 — Jul 7: 40%Above 55 — Jul 8: 40%Above 55 — Jul 9: 40%Above 55 — Jul 10: 42%Above 55 — Jul 11: 42%Above 55 — Jul 12: 43%Above 55 — Jul 13: 42%Above 55 — Jul 14: 46%Above 55 — Jul 15: 52%Above 55 — Jul 16: 50%Above 55 — Jul 17: 60%Above 55 — Jul 18: 65%Above 55 — Jul 19: 74%Above 55 — Jul 20: 82%Above 55 — Jul 21: 94%Above 60 — Jul 7: 30%Above 60 — Jul 8: 30%Above 60 — Jul 9: 30%Above 60 — Jul 10: 28%Above 60 — Jul 11: 30%Above 60 — Jul 12: 32%Above 60 — Jul 13: 30%Above 60 — Jul 14: 32%Above 60 — Jul 15: 40%Above 60 — Jul 16: 34%Above 60 — Jul 17: 46%Above 60 — Jul 18: 56%Above 60 — Jul 19: 64%Above 60 — Jul 20: 73%Above 60 — Jul 21: 84%Above 65 — Jul 10: 20%Above 65 — Jul 11: 22%Above 65 — Jul 12: 22%Above 65 — Jul 13: 21%Above 65 — Jul 14: 24%Above 65 — Jul 15: 29%Above 65 — Jul 16: 28%Above 65 — Jul 17: 35%Above 65 — Jul 18: 35%Above 65 — Jul 19: 48%Above 65 — Jul 20: 58%Above 65 — Jul 21: 78%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 20TodayMove
Above 4592%98%▲ 7
Above 5086%96%▲ 10
Above 5582%94%▲ 12
Above 6073%84%▲ 12
Above 6558%78%▲ 20
Above 7041%58%▲ 17
Above 7518%41%▲ 22
Above 8014%24%▲ 10
Full history table
DateAbove 45Above 50Above 55Above 60Above 65Above 70Above 75Above 80
2026-07-2198%96%94%84%78%58%41%24%
2026-07-2092%86%82%73%58%41%18%14%
2026-07-1990%80%74%64%48%30%16%12%
2026-07-1889%70%65%56%35%26%14%8%
2026-07-1778%72%60%46%35%18%11%8%
2026-07-1678%60%50%34%28%17%8%10%
2026-07-1572%62%52%40%29%15%9%8%
2026-07-1468%57%46%32%24%14%6%3%
2026-07-1364%56%42%30%21%13%4%3%
2026-07-1262%56%43%32%22%13%4%4%
2026-07-1166%57%42%30%22%12%6%4%
2026-07-1068%56%42%28%20%11%6%4%
2026-07-0960%52%40%30%—12%8%4%
2026-07-0864%52%40%30%—12%—4%
2026-07-0764%52%40%30%—12%—4%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.