Final tracked odds
As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 82%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Odds Tracker
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 19, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Jul 18 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82% | 82% | ▲ 1 |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | 82% |
| 2026-07-18 | 82% |
| 2026-07-17 | 82% |
| 2026-07-16 | 82% |
| 2026-07-15 | 82% |
| 2026-07-14 | 82% |
| 2026-07-13 | 83% |
| 2026-07-12 | 84% |
| 2026-07-11 | 85% |
| 2026-07-10 | 86% |
| 2026-07-09 | 84% |
| 2026-07-07 | 82% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. The record is final; past values never change.