The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final?

World Cup · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 11:42 AM ET

94%

Today’s odds

As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds make Record the most likely outcome at 94%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

RecordGianni / InfantinoComeback / Come BackVARShutout / Shut Out
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 8Jul 11Jul 14Jul 16Jul 19Record — Jul 9: 82%Record — Jul 10: 82%Record — Jul 11: 82%Record — Jul 12: 86%Record — Jul 13: 86%Record — Jul 14: 86%Record — Jul 15: 94%Record — Jul 16: 92%Record — Jul 17: 94%Record — Jul 18: 94%Record — Jul 19: 94%94%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 9: 86%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 10: 82%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 11: 84%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 12: 90%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 13: 90%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 14: 90%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 15: 94%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 16: 94%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 17: 94%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 18: 94%Gianni / Infantino — Jul 19: 92%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 9: 86%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 10: 86%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 11: 86%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 12: 86%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 13: 90%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 14: 90%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 15: 90%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 16: 92%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 17: 92%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 18: 92%Comeback / Come Back — Jul 19: 92%VAR — Jul 9: 78%VAR — Jul 10: 72%VAR — Jul 11: 72%VAR — Jul 12: 76%VAR — Jul 13: 78%VAR — Jul 14: 80%VAR — Jul 15: 82%VAR — Jul 16: 82%VAR — Jul 17: 82%VAR — Jul 18: 78%VAR — Jul 19: 82%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 8: 38%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 9: 40%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 10: 40%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 11: 40%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 12: 46%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 13: 46%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 14: 46%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 15: 82%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 16: 82%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 17: 76%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 18: 78%Shutout / Shut Out — Jul 19: 78%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 18TodayMove
Record94%94%—
Gianni / Infantino94%92%▼ 2
Comeback / Come Back92%92%▼ 1
VAR78%82%▲ 4
Shutout / Shut Out78%78%▲ 1
Handball74%74%—
Nutmeg / Meg74%74%—
Trump60%72%▲ 11
Full history table
DateRecordGianni / InfantinoComeback / Come BackVARShutout / Shut OutHandballNutmeg / MegTrump
2026-07-1994%92%92%82%78%74%74%72%
2026-07-1894%94%92%78%78%74%74%60%
2026-07-1794%94%92%82%76%74%74%68%
2026-07-1692%94%92%82%82%74%74%70%
2026-07-1594%94%90%82%82%74%74%64%
2026-07-1486%90%90%80%46%72%72%57%
2026-07-1386%90%90%78%46%72%72%57%
2026-07-1286%90%86%76%46%74%72%64%
2026-07-1182%84%86%72%40%68%72%54%
2026-07-1082%82%86%72%40%66%72%40%
2026-07-0982%86%86%78%40%62%68%70%
2026-07-08————38%60%—46%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.