Today’s odds
As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds make France the most likely outcome at 32%.
▼ 1 since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Odds Tracker
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning
32%
How the odds have moved
FranceArgentinaSpainEnglandNorway
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| France | 33% | 32% | ▼ 1 |
| Argentina | 19% | 20% | ▲ 1 |
| Spain | 19% | 19% | — |
| England | 16% | 16% | — |
| Norway | 6% | 6% | — |
| Morocco | 3% | 3% | — |
| Belgium | 2% | 2% | — |
| Switzerland | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | France | Argentina | Spain | England | Norway | Morocco | Belgium | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 32% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 2026-07-08 | 33% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 2026-07-07 | 33% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 0.9% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.