The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Who will win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

36%

Today’s odds

As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds make Kylian Mbappé the most likely outcome at 36%.

▼ 1 since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Kylian MbappéLamine YamalDeclan RicePedri
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Kylian Mbappé — Jul 7: 38%Kylian Mbappé — Jul 8: 36%Kylian Mbappé — Jul 9: 36%36%Lamine Yamal — Jul 9: 2%Declan Rice — Jul 7: 0.1%Declan Rice — Jul 8: 0.2%Declan Rice — Jul 9: 0.1%Pedri — Jul 7: 0.3%Pedri — Jul 8: 0.4%Pedri — Jul 9: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 8TodayMove
Kylian Mbappé36%36%▼ 1
Lamine Yamal—2%—
Declan Rice0.2%0.1%—
Pedri0.4%0.1%—
Full history table
DateKylian MbappéLamine YamalDeclan RicePedri
2026-07-0936%2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-0836%—0.2%0.4%
2026-07-0738%—0.1%0.3%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.