The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Who will win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Politics · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 1:04 PM ET

0.5%

Today’s odds

As of July 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.5%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 11Jul 15Jul 18Jul 22the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) — Jul 12: 0.5%the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) — Jul 20: 0.5%the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) — Jul 21: 0.5%the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) — Jul 22: 0.5%0.5%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 21TodayMove
the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0.5%0.5%
Full history table
Datethe Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
2026-07-220.5%
2026-07-210.5%
2026-07-200.5%
2026-07-19
2026-07-18
2026-07-17
2026-07-16
2026-07-15
2026-07-14
2026-07-13
2026-07-120.5%
2026-07-11
2026-07-10
2026-07-09
2026-07-08
2026-07-07

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.