The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will Aaron Rai win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

0.9%

Today’s odds

As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.9%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 9Jul 11Jul 14Jul 16Aaron Rai — Jul 7: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 8: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 9: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 10: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 11: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 12: 2%Aaron Rai — Jul 13: 1.2%Aaron Rai — Jul 14: 1.1%Aaron Rai — Jul 15: 1.2%Aaron Rai — Jul 16: 0.9%0.9%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 15TodayMove
Aaron Rai1.2%0.9%—
Full history table
DateAaron Rai
2026-07-160.9%
2026-07-151.2%
2026-07-141.1%
2026-07-131.2%
2026-07-122%
2026-07-111.1%
2026-07-101.1%
2026-07-091.1%
2026-07-081.1%
2026-07-071.1%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.