Today’s odds
As of July 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 92%.
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Odds Tracker
Will Ariana Grande be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026?
Culture · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 6:00 PM ET
92%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 26 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Grande | 90% | 92% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Ariana Grande |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 92% |
| 2026-07-26 | 90% |
| 2026-07-25 | 92% |
| 2026-07-24 | 91% |
| 2026-07-23 | 90% |
| 2026-07-21 | 92% |
| 2026-07-20 | 92% |
| 2026-07-19 | 92% |
| 2026-07-18 | 90% |
| 2026-07-17 | 92% |
| 2026-07-16 | 90% |
| 2026-07-15 | 91% |
| 2026-07-14 | 90% |
| 2026-07-13 | 94% |
| 2026-07-12 | 88% |
| 2026-07-11 | 96% |
| 2026-07-10 | 94% |
| 2026-07-09 | 94% |
| 2026-07-08 | 92% |
| 2026-07-07 | 90% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Ariana Grande be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026” for 20 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 92%. The chance for a yes has risen from 90% to 92%, ranging between 88% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.