The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will Jon Rahm win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

3%

Today’s odds

As of July 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 3%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 9Jul 11Jul 14Jul 16Jon Rahm — Jul 7: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 8: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 9: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 10: 3%Jon Rahm — Jul 11: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 12: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 13: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 14: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 15: 4%Jon Rahm — Jul 16: 3%3%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 15TodayMove
Jon Rahm4%3%—
Full history table
DateJon Rahm
2026-07-163%
2026-07-154%
2026-07-144%
2026-07-134%
2026-07-124%
2026-07-114%
2026-07-103%
2026-07-094%
2026-07-084%
2026-07-074%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.