The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will Melanie and Sincere win Love Island USA Season 8?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

4%

Today’s odds

As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

▲ 3 since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Jul 10Jul 11Melanie and Sincere — Jul 7: 2%Melanie and Sincere — Jul 8: 4%Melanie and Sincere — Jul 9: 2%Melanie and Sincere — Jul 10: 2%Melanie and Sincere — Jul 11: 4%4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 10TodayMove
Melanie and Sincere2%4%▲ 3
Full history table
DateMelanie and Sincere
2026-07-114%
2026-07-102%
2026-07-092%
2026-07-084%
2026-07-072%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.