The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 19, 2026

10%

Final tracked odds

As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 10%.

▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 10% on July 19, 2026. Ryan Fox won.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 29Jul 5Jul 12Jul 19Ryan Fox — Jun 22: 0%Ryan Fox — Jun 23: 0.9%Ryan Fox — Jun 24: 0.9%Ryan Fox — Jun 25: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jun 26: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 27: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 29: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jun 30: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 1: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 2: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 3: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 4: 0.6%Ryan Fox — Jul 5: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 6: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 7: 0.5%Ryan Fox — Jul 8: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 9: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 10: 0.2%Ryan Fox — Jul 11: 0.3%Ryan Fox — Jul 12: 0.3%Ryan Fox — Jul 13: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 14: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 15: 0.4%Ryan Fox — Jul 17: 0.1%Ryan Fox — Jul 18: 8%Ryan Fox — Jul 19: 10%10%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 18TodayMove
Ryan Fox8%10%▲ 2
Full history table
DateRyan Fox
2026-07-1910%
2026-07-188%
2026-07-170.1%
2026-07-150.4%
2026-07-140.4%
2026-07-130.4%
2026-07-120.3%
2026-07-110.3%
2026-07-100.2%
2026-07-090.2%
2026-07-080.4%
2026-07-070.5%
2026-07-06 *0.5%
2026-07-05 *0.5%
2026-07-04 *0.6%
2026-07-03 *0.2%
2026-07-02 *0.5%
2026-07-01 *0.5%
2026-06-30 *0.5%
2026-06-29 *0.1%
2026-06-27 *0.1%
2026-06-26 *0.1%
2026-06-25 *0.2%
2026-06-24 *0.9%
2026-06-23 *0.9%
2026-06-22 *0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. The record is final; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.