The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Politics · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

2%

Today’s odds

As of July 20, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Eugen Tomac leads at 2%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Eugen TomacAnca DraguDacian CioloșSebastian Burduja
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 10Jul 13Jul 17Jul 20Eugen Tomac — Jul 8: 2%Eugen Tomac — Jul 12: 0.7%Eugen Tomac — Jul 20: 2%2%Anca Dragu — Jul 7: 0.2%Anca Dragu — Jul 8: 0.2%Anca Dragu — Jul 10: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 11: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 12: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 13: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 14: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 15: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 16: 0.4%Anca Dragu — Jul 20: 0.4%Dacian Cioloș — Jul 12: 0.1%Dacian Cioloș — Jul 13: 0.1%Dacian Cioloș — Jul 15: 0.1%Dacian Cioloș — Jul 20: 0.3%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 12: 0.1%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 13: 0.1%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 14: 0.1%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 15: 0.1%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 16: 0.1%Sebastian Burduja — Jul 20: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 19TodayMove
Eugen Tomac—2%—
Anca Dragu—0.4%—
Dacian Cioloș—0.3%—
Sebastian Burduja—0.1%—
Full history table
DateEugen TomacAnca DraguDacian CioloșSebastian Burduja
2026-07-202%0.4%0.3%0.1%
2026-07-19————
2026-07-18————
2026-07-17————
2026-07-16—0.4%—0.1%
2026-07-15—0.4%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-14—0.4%—0.1%
2026-07-13—0.4%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-120.7%0.4%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-11—0.4%——
2026-07-10—0.4%——
2026-07-09————
2026-07-082%0.2%——
2026-07-07—0.2%——

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.