The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?

World Cup · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 14, 2026

21%

Final tracked odds

As of July 14, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 21%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 21% on July 14, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 30Jul 4Jul 7Jul 10Jul 14Spain vs England — Jun 30: 0%Spain vs England — Jul 1: 2%Spain vs England — Jul 2: 0%Spain vs England — Jul 3: 2%Spain vs England — Jul 4: 3%Spain vs England — Jul 5: 3%Spain vs England — Jul 6: 7%Spain vs England — Jul 7: 11%Spain vs England — Jul 8: 12%Spain vs England — Jul 9: 12%Spain vs England — Jul 10: 11%Spain vs England — Jul 11: 15%Spain vs England — Jul 12: 21%Spain vs England — Jul 13: 21%Spain vs England — Jul 14: 21%21%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 13TodayMove
Spain vs England21%21%—
Full history table
DateSpain vs England
2026-07-1421%
2026-07-1321%
2026-07-1221%
2026-07-1115%
2026-07-1011%
2026-07-0912%
2026-07-0812%
2026-07-0711%
2026-07-06 *7%
2026-07-05 *3%
2026-07-04 *3%
2026-07-03 *2%
2026-07-02 *0%
2026-07-01 *2%
2026-06-30 *0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. The record is final; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.