Today’s odds
As of July 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 58%.
▼ 14 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Odds Tracker
Will Trump say "Fox News" before Aug 1, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
58%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 26 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News | 72% | 58% | ▼ 14 |
Full history table
| Date | Fox News |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | 58% |
| 2026-07-26 | 72% |
| 2026-07-25 | 57% |
| 2026-07-24 | 58% |
| 2026-07-23 | 55% |
| 2026-07-22 | 71% |
| 2026-07-21 | 53% |
| 2026-07-20 | 60% |
| 2026-07-19 | 51% |
| 2026-07-18 | 60% |
| 2026-07-17 | 55% |
| 2026-07-16 | 55% |
| 2026-07-15 | 62% |
| 2026-07-14 | 34% |
| 2026-07-13 | 36% |
| 2026-07-12 | 27% |
| 2026-07-11 | 28% |
| 2026-07-10 | 27% |
| 2026-07-09 | 26% |
| 2026-07-08 | 30% |
| 2026-07-07 | 36% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Trump say "Fox News" before Aug 1, 2026” for 21 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 58%. The chance for a yes has risen from 36% to 58%, ranging between 26% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.