Final tracked odds
As of August 23, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 19%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 32 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Cadiz Mirandilla wins?
Everything Else · tracked since August 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 23, 2026
19%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 22 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz Mirandilla | 19% | 19% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Cadiz Mirandilla |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 19% |
| 2026-08-22 | 19% |
| 2026-08-21 | 51% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Cadiz Mirandilla wins — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 23, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 19%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Cadiz Mirandilla wins — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 51% on August 21, 2026 to 19% on August 23, 2026 — a change of 32 points.
- Cadiz Mirandilla wins — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 19% and 51%. The final reading of 19% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Cadiz Mirandilla wins” for 3 days, since August 21, 2026. As of August 23, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 19%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 51% to 19%, ranging between 19% and 51% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 23, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.