The Morning Line

Completed Questions

Questions that have left the daily tracker — their market resolved or closed. Each page stays up permanently: the final tracked odds, and what actually happened.

Last updated 5:01 AM ET.

QuestionWhat happenedFinal tracked odds
Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending12%
Will Miami win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending4%
Will Golden State win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending2%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 28
Everything Elsepending6%
Will Los Angeles L win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending2%
Will Minnesota win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending2%
Will Cleveland win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending2%
Will New York win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending8%
Will Toronto win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending4%
Will Indiana win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending2%
Will Denver win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending4%
Will Oklahoma City win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending20%
Will Boston win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending4%
Will San Antonio win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 28
NBApending20%
Will Ariana Grande be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026?
tracked Jun 23 – Jul 28
Culturepending93%
What will be Jalen Duren's next team?
tracked Jun 27 – Jul 28
Everything Elsepending84%
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
tracked Jun 12 – Jul 28
Everything Elsepending99.7%
Top Coding AI this month?
tracked Jul 2 – Jul 28
Everything Elsepending98%
Who will win the next presidential election?
tracked May 23 – Jul 26
Politicspending2%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 26
Politicspending3%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 26
Everything Elsepending8%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 26
Everything Elsepending31%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 26
Everything Elsepending38%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 26
Politicspending0.1%
Aaron Donald to compete in the Pro Football Game in 2026-27 season?
tracked Jun 2 – Jul 26
NFLpending78%
Will Trump make 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago as President in Jul 2026?
tracked Jul 2 – Jul 26
Politicspending2%
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 26
CultureAbove 6596%
Will Trump say "Fox News" before Aug 1, 2026?
tracked Jul 2 – Jul 26
Everything ElseFox News72%
Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 24
Politicspending98%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 24
Everything ElseFake News88%
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Tour de France?
tracked Jul 4 – Jul 24
Everything ElseTadej Pogacar98%
Will Samuel Alito announce their departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026?
tracked Jul 1 – Jul 24
Politicspending2%
Will any Source Agency announce that LeBron James is joining any NBA team after Issuance and before Jul 26, 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 23
NBABefore Jul 26, 202616%
Will Portland win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?
tracked Jun 15 – Jul 21
NBApending2%
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
World Cuppending59%
Will Sam Burns win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen17%
Will Cameron Young win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen24%
Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?
tracked Jun 17 – Jul 19
World CupKylian Mbappé90%
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen0.3%
Will Jackson Suber win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Si Woo Kim win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen44%
Will Lucas Herbert win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen4%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Ryan Gerard win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfDidn't happen0.8%
Will Ryan Fox win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 19
GolfRyan Fox10%
What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final?
tracked Jul 8 – Jul 19
World CupRecord94%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Politicspending0.1%
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
CultureAbove 9494%
Who will be the top grossing movie of 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Culturepending0.4%
Who will win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
World Cuppending0.1%
Who will be the next leader out before 2027?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Everything Elsepending0.1%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Politicspending0.4%
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Politicspending0.1%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 19
Everything Elsepending0.8%
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
tracked Jun 18 – Jul 19
World CupDidn't happen10%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen14%
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen5%
Will Rory McIlroy win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen3%
Will Sungjae Im win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Patrick Reed win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Jon Rahm win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen2%
Will Daniel Brown win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Justin Thomas win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Shane Lowry win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.6%
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Xander Schauffele win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.9%
Will Bud Cauley win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.4%
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 18
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will France win the third-place match at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?
tracked Jun 3 – Jul 18
World CupDidn't happen68%
Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen1.4%
Will Jordan Spieth win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Chris Gotterup win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen1.3%
Will Justin Rose win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Russell Henley win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Ben Griffin win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.6%
Will Min Woo Lee win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Akshay Bhatia win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Patrick Cantlay win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.4%
Will Adam Scott win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.4%
Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen1.1%
Will Kurt Kitayama win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Corey Conners win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.4%
Will Jordan L. Smith win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 17
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen2%
Will Wyndham Clark win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.6%
Will Viktor Hovland win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen1.2%
Will Cameron Smith win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Brooks Koepka win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen1.1%
Will Rickie Fowler win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Hao-Tong Li win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Aaron Rai win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.9%
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 16
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Joaquin Niemann win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 15
GolfDidn't happen1.2%
Will Brian Harman win the The Open Championship?
tracked Jun 22 – Jul 15
GolfDidn't happen0.7%
Will France play Argentina in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 14
World CupDidn't happen28%
Will France play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 14
World CupDidn't happen32%
Will Spain play Argentina in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 14
World CupSpain vs Argentina19%
Will Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 14
World CupDidn't happen21%
Will Jannik Sinner win the Wimbledon Men's Singles?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 12
TennisJannik Sinner80%
Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen2%
Will Alexander Zverev win the Wimbledon Men's Singles?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 12
TennisDidn't happen22%
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen26%
Will Chris Gotterup win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen3%
Will Wyndham Clark win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen0.2%
Will Tom Kim win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfTom Kim30%
Will Robert MacIntyre win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen4%
Will Trinity and Bryce win Love Island USA Season 8?
tracked May 29 – Jul 12
Everything ElseTrinity and Bryce96%
Will Aniya and Carl win Love Island USA Season 8?
tracked Jun 24 – Jul 12
Everything ElseDidn't happen3%
Will Melanie and Sincere win Love Island USA Season 8?
tracked May 29 – Jul 12
Everything ElseDidn't happen2%
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen0.7%
Will Min Woo Lee win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen25%
Will Lucas Glover win the ISCO Championship?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 12
GolfDidn't happen28%
Norway vs England: To Advance?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 11
World CupEngland advances64%
Norway vs England Winner?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 11
World CupReg Time: Tie50%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 11
World CupDidn't happen46%
Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 11
TennisDidn't happen28%
Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 11
UFCPaddy Pimblett46%
Will Linda Noskova win the Wimbledon Women Singles 2026?
tracked Jul 4 – Jul 11
TennisLinda Noskova72%
Will Patrick Reed win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 11
GolfDidn't happen1.1%
Will Elisha Ellison win the Steveson vs Ellison professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?
tracked Jun 30 – Jul 11
UFCDidn't happen10%
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 11
GolfDidn't happen0.7%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 11
World CupDidn't happen12%
Spain vs Belgium: To Advance?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 10
World CupSpain advances74%
Spain vs Belgium Winner?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 10
World CupReg Time: Spain60%
Will Novak Djokovic win the Wimbledon Men's Singles?
tracked Jun 9 – Jul 10
TennisDidn't happen10%
Will Brooks Koepka win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 10
GolfDidn't happen4%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 10
Politicspending0.1%
Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8?
tracked Jun 23 – Jul 10
Everything ElseDidn't happen6%
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 10
World Cuppending10%
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 10
GolfDidn't happen0.1%
Will Marco Penge win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 10
GolfDidn't happen0.3%
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 10
Everything Elsepending0.1%
France vs Morocco: To Advance?
tracked Jul 5 – Jul 9
World CupFrance advances78%
France vs Morocco Winner?
tracked Jul 5 – Jul 9
World CupReg Time: France62%
Will Coco Gauff win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 9
TennisDidn't happen39%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the Genesis Scottish Open?
tracked Jul 6 – Jul 9
GolfDidn't happen9%
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 9
Everything Elsepending10%
Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 9
TennisKarolina Muchova62%
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
tracked Jul 7 – Jul 9
Everything Elsepending0.1%

“Final tracked odds” is the leader’s market-consensus chance on the last morning we tracked the question — the number to judge against what happened.

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