The Morning Line

Who will be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

UFC · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 27, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of September 27, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Youssef Zalal leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Youssef ZalalAljamain Sterling
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 24Aug 17Aug 28Sep 27Youssef Zalal — Jul 7: 1.1%Youssef Zalal — Sep 27: 0.1%0.1%Aljamain Sterling — Jul 9: 1.4%Aljamain Sterling — Sep 27: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 26TodayMove
Youssef Zalal0.1%0.1%—
Aljamain Sterling—0.1%—
Full history table
DateYoussef ZalalAljamain Sterling
2026-09-270.1%0.1%
2026-09-260.1%—
2026-09-200.1%0.1%
2026-09-190.1%0.1%
2026-09-130.1%—
2026-09-120.1%—
2026-09-080.1%—
2026-09-070.1%—
2026-09-060.1%0.1%
2026-09-050.1%0.1%
2026-09-040.1%—
2026-09-030.1%—
2026-08-280.1%0.1%
2026-08-270.1%0.1%
2026-08-260.1%0.1%
2026-08-250.1%0.1%
2026-08-240.1%0.1%
2026-08-230.1%0.1%
2026-08-220.1%0.1%
2026-08-210.1%0.1%
2026-08-200.1%0.1%
2026-08-190.1%0.1%
2026-08-180.3%0.1%
2026-08-170.3%—
2026-08-160.2%0.1%
2026-08-150.4%0.4%
2026-08-140.7%—
2026-08-130.6%0.5%
2026-08-120.6%—
2026-07-300.9%—
2026-07-290.9%—
2026-07-280.9%—
2026-07-260.8%0.9%
2026-07-250.8%0.9%
2026-07-240.8%—
2026-07-19—1.0%
2026-07-18—0.9%
2026-07-170.9%0.9%
2026-07-161.1%0.9%
2026-07-151.1%0.9%
2026-07-141.1%1.4%
2026-07-131.1%—
2026-07-111.1%1.4%
2026-07-101.1%1.4%
2026-07-091.1%1.4%
2026-07-081.1%—
2026-07-071.1%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, September 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 45 tracked days the odds held near 1.1%, ending at 0.1% on September 27, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 45 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 27, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Youssef Zalal leads at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for the leading outcome has fallen from 1.1% to 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 27, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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