The Morning Line

Who will be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

UFC · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Amir Albazi leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Amir AlbaziAsu Almabayev
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 29Aug 22Sep 19Oct 12Amir Albazi — Jul 20: 0.5%Amir Albazi — Oct 12: 0.1%0.1%Asu Almabayev — Oct 1: 0.1%Asu Almabayev — Oct 12: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
Amir Albazi0.1%0.1%—
Asu Almabayev—0.1%—
Full history table
DateAmir AlbaziAsu Almabayev
2026-10-120.1%0.1%
2026-10-110.1%—
2026-10-100.1%—
2026-10-090.1%0.1%
2026-10-080.1%0.1%
2026-10-070.1%0.1%
2026-10-060.1%0.1%
2026-10-05—0.1%
2026-10-04——
2026-10-02—0.1%
2026-10-010.1%0.1%
2026-09-30——
2026-09-29——
2026-09-28——
2026-09-27——
2026-09-26——
2026-09-25——
2026-09-24——
2026-09-23——
2026-09-22——
2026-09-21——
2026-09-20——
2026-09-19——
2026-09-18——
2026-09-17——
2026-09-16——
2026-09-15——
2026-09-14——
2026-09-13——
2026-09-12——
2026-09-11——
2026-09-10——
2026-09-09——
2026-09-08——
2026-09-07——
2026-09-06——
2026-09-05——
2026-09-04——
2026-09-03——
2026-09-02——
2026-09-01——
2026-08-26——
2026-08-25——
2026-08-24——
2026-08-23——
2026-08-22——
2026-08-21——
2026-08-20——
2026-08-19——
2026-08-18——
2026-08-17——
2026-08-16——
2026-08-15——
2026-08-14——
2026-08-13——
2026-08-12——
2026-08-11——
2026-08-080.4%—
2026-08-070.4%—
2026-08-060.5%—
2026-08-050.7%—
2026-08-040.7%—
2026-08-030.5%—
2026-08-020.4%—
2026-08-010.4%—
2026-07-31——
2026-07-30——
2026-07-29——
2026-07-28——
2026-07-27——
2026-07-26——
2026-07-25——
2026-07-24——
2026-07-23——
2026-07-22——
2026-07-210.5%—
2026-07-200.5%—
2026-07-19——
2026-07-18——
2026-07-17——
2026-07-16——
2026-07-15——
2026-07-14——
2026-07-13——
2026-07-12——
2026-07-11——
2026-07-10——
2026-07-09——
2026-07-08——
2026-07-07——

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 18 tracked days the odds held near 0.5%, ending at 0.1% on October 12, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 18 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Amir Albazi leads at 0.1%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

Related questions