The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

NBA · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

1.3%

Today’s odds

As of July 29, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Kingston Flemings leads at 1.3%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Kingston FlemingsZuby EjioforJoshua JeffersonJayden Quaintance
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 13Jul 18Jul 23Jul 29Kingston Flemings — Jul 7: 0.1%Kingston Flemings — Jul 8: 0.4%Kingston Flemings — Jul 9: 0.7%Kingston Flemings — Jul 10: 0.2%Kingston Flemings — Jul 11: 0.2%Kingston Flemings — Jul 12: 0.7%Kingston Flemings — Jul 13: 0.7%Kingston Flemings — Jul 15: 0.4%Kingston Flemings — Jul 16: 0.4%Kingston Flemings — Jul 20: 0.4%Kingston Flemings — Jul 21: 0.8%Kingston Flemings — Jul 22: 1.0%Kingston Flemings — Jul 23: 0.9%Kingston Flemings — Jul 24: 0.9%Kingston Flemings — Jul 25: 0.9%Kingston Flemings — Jul 26: 0.9%Kingston Flemings — Jul 27: 0.9%Kingston Flemings — Jul 28: 1.4%Kingston Flemings — Jul 29: 1.3%1.3%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 13: 0.4%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 14: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 15: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 16: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 17: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 18: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 19: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 21: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 22: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 23: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 24: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 25: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 26: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 27: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 28: 0.2%Zuby Ejiofor — Jul 29: 0.2%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 15: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 20: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 21: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 22: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 23: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 24: 0.1%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 25: 0.2%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 26: 0.2%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 27: 0.2%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 28: 0.2%Joshua Jefferson — Jul 29: 0.2%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 15: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 16: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 20: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 21: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 22: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 23: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 24: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 27: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Jul 29: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 28TodayMove
Kingston Flemings1.4%1.3%—
Zuby Ejiofor0.2%0.2%—
Joshua Jefferson0.2%0.2%—
Jayden Quaintance—0.1%—
Full history table
DateKingston FlemingsZuby EjioforJoshua JeffersonJayden Quaintance
2026-07-291.3%0.2%0.2%0.1%
2026-07-281.4%0.2%0.2%—
2026-07-270.9%0.2%0.2%0.1%
2026-07-260.9%0.2%0.2%—
2026-07-250.9%0.2%0.2%—
2026-07-240.9%0.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-230.9%0.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-221.0%0.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-210.8%0.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-200.4%—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-19—0.2%——
2026-07-18—0.2%——
2026-07-17—0.2%——
2026-07-160.4%0.2%—0.1%
2026-07-150.4%0.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-14—0.2%——
2026-07-130.7%0.4%——
2026-07-120.7%———
2026-07-110.2%———
2026-07-100.2%———
2026-07-090.7%———
2026-07-080.4%———
2026-07-070.1%———

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year — what are the odds?
As of July 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 1.3%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 19 tracked days the odds held near 0.1%, ending at 1.3% on July 29, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year” for 19 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Kingston Flemings leads at 1.3%. The chance for the leading outcome has risen from 0.1% to 1.3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.