ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 66%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 29% on September 26, 2026 to 66% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 37 points.

ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 29% and 66%. The final reading of 66% sits at the top of that range.

ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since September 26, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 28, 2026

66%

Final tracked odds

As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 66%.

▲ 37 since the previous update. ▲ 66 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 40% on September 28, 2026. Daniil Medvedev won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 26	Today	Move
Daniil Medvedev	29%	66%	▲ 37

Full history table

Date	Daniil Medvedev
2026-09-28	66%
2026-09-26	29%
2026-09-25 *	0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 66%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 29% on September 26, 2026 to 66% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 37 points.
ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 29% and 66%. The final reading of 66% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “ATP Hangzhou: Daniil Medvedev wins” for 2 days, since September 26, 2026. As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 66%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 29% to 66%, ranging between 29% and 66% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.