Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 44%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins?
Tennis · tracked since October 8, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
44%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 44% | 44% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 44% |
| 2026-10-11 | 44% |
| 2026-10-10 | 41% |
| 2026-10-09 | 42% |
| 2026-10-08 | 38% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins — what are the odds?
- As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 44%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 38% on October 8, 2026 to 44% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 38% and 44%. The current reading of 44% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “ATP Shanghai: Carlos Alcaraz wins” for 5 days, since October 8, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 44%. The chance for a yes has risen from 38% to 44%, ranging between 38% and 44% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.