Chen / Lu wins — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 37%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Chen / Lu wins?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Chen / Lu wins?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since August 25, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 26, 2026

37%

Final tracked odds

As of August 26, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 37%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 27% on August 26, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 25	Today	Move
Chen / Lu	37%	37%	—

Full history table

Date	Chen / Lu
2026-08-26	37%
2026-08-25	37%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Chen / Lu wins — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 37%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Chen / Lu wins” for 2 days, since August 25, 2026. As of August 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 37%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 37% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.