Final tracked odds
As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 24%.
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Christian Mbilli wins?
Boxing · tracked since September 12, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 28, 2026
24%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 22 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Mbilli | 26% | 24% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Christian Mbilli |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | 24% |
| 2026-09-22 | 26% |
| 2026-09-21 | 26% |
| 2026-09-15 | 29% |
| 2026-09-14 | 29% |
| 2026-09-13 | 30% |
| 2026-09-12 | 28% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Christian Mbilli wins — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 24%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Christian Mbilli wins — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 12, 2026 to 24% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Christian Mbilli wins” for 7 days, since September 12, 2026. As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 24%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 28% to 24%, ranging between 24% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.