World Cup · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 9, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 78% on July 9, 2026. France advances won.
| Outcome | Jul 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| France advances | 78% | 78% | — |
| Morocco advances | 22% | 22% | — |
| Date | France advances | Morocco advances |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | 78% | 22% |
| 2026-07-08 | 78% | 22% |
| 2026-07-07 | 78% | 22% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 77% | 24% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 77% | 24% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “France vs Morocco: To Advance” for 3 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 9, 2026, France advances leads the field at 78%. The final tracked chance for France advances has held near 78% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.